Russia appears to have launched initial major counterattack against Ukraine in Kursk
(KURSK, Russia) — Russia appears to have launched its first major counterattack to drive Ukrainian forces out of Russia’s Kursk region more than a month after Ukraine began its surprise offensive, according to Russian and Ukrainian sources as well as independent military analysts.
Russian forces appeared already to have some success on Tuesday — retaking some territory and driving a wedge into Ukrainian lines in Kursk, analysts said.
Videos posted by pro-Russian military bloggers and geolocated by ABC News showed a large Russian armored column attacking toward the village of Snagost. Another video appears to show Ukrainian troops taken prisoner.
The Russian counterattack is focused on the western flank of Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk that seized hundreds of square kilometers since it began on Aug. 6.
John Helin — a researcher at the Blackbird Group, which conducts open-source military analysis — wrote on X that Russian troops had launched a push from the west and north, driving a wedge behind Ukrainian troops toward Snagost. Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces are now attacking the village of Obukhov, which would mean Russian troops could have advanced more than 6 miles on Tuesday, Helin wrote in an article for the Finnish newspaper, Helsingin Sanomat.
A prominent pro-Ukrainian military blogger, Serhiy Sternenko, confirmed Russia has launched a major counterattack and that the situation is dangerous for Ukraine.
“The situation can develop into a poorly controlled crisis,” Sternenko wrote on Telegram, saying Ukrainian forces lack adequate coordination in the area and are disorganized.
Military analysts and Ukrainian commentators said Russia’s attack was predictable.
“I won’t dramatize about the Kursk region, war is war, a fully expected response from the enemy,” Stanislav Osman, a volunteer soldier with the 24th “Aidar” Assault Battalion, wrote on his Telegram account. But he said Ukrainian commanders had ignored some warnings from Ukrainian front-line troops in the area.
Ukraine succeeded in seizing hundreds of square miles and dozens of villages inside the Kursk region in the early days of its surprise offensive. Russia has struggled to respond. Ukraine has barely advanced since the first two weeks, although it has kept Russian forces on the defensive. Tuesday’s counterattack suggested Russia is now finally seeking to turn the tables and begin trying to push Ukraine back.
Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk has been viewed as a high-risk gamble by most independent military experts. Although it has succeeded in shifting the narrative in the war, analysts have warned Ukraine still risks suffering dangerous losses as it tries to hold onto territory in Kursk.
At the same time, Russian forces have made more rapid advances in eastern Ukraine since the Kursk incursion, appearing to take advantage of Ukraine diverting troops and ammunition. Russian forces have advanced toward the city of Pokrovsk, a key logistical hub, and stretched Ukrainian lines more broadly in southeast Donbas. Though Russia’s rate of advance has reportedly slowed in the past week.
(LONDON) — Hundreds of firefighters battled dozens of wildfires into submission in Greece over an about 40-hour period, a “superhuman effort” that had been paired with a “rapid operational response” to slow fast-moving blazes that threatened Athens, officials said.
“Forty hours after the extremely dangerous wildfire broke out in Varnavas, we can now say that there is no active front, only scattered hotspots,” Vassilis Kikilias, the Greek climate minister, said in a statement on Tuesday.
Firefighters detected and fought some 44 wild blazes in the 24 hours leading up to Monday evening, curbing all but eight of them in their “initial stage,” the Greek Fire Service said in a release late Monday.
The wildfires, which arrived amid extreme heat, had been cropping up throughout the country since at least Saturday, European officials said.
Greek officials, who said an “outbreak” began Sunday, asked the European Commission for help battling the fires on Monday, according to a notice published by the Commission’s Emergency Response Coordination Centre.
Greek authorities said Tuesday that two minors were arrested for allegedly setting an intentional fire in a forest area in the country’s Attica region, where some wildfires have been raging.
Hundreds of firefighters had been working to stop fast-moving wildfires Monday near Athens, with tens of thousands of people under evacuation orders in the region, emergency officials said. Those fires burned some 6,600 hectares, or about 25 square miles, in the East Attica region, European officials said.
Government officials warned of heightened risk for fire in several areas, including the Athens peninsula and the region north of it. The fire risk category in those areas had been raised to “extreme,” weather officials said in a statement released Sunday.
Those fires burned in a “rugged” location, where firefighters had to navigate mountains, forests and villages, Kikilias said Tuesday.
“This is the reality: despite the rapid operational response — the new doctrine combined with technological support from drones, which has been applied to hundreds of wildfires throughout the summer — when extreme conditions prevail, the problem becomes insurmountable,” he said.
But calmer winds had helped firefighters near Athens get the upper hand on a number of fires burning in the suburbs. Those winds were expected to pick on Tuesday evening.
In the next 48 hours, “the fire danger forecast is expected from high to very extreme across most of central Greece,” the Emergency Response Coordination Centre said.
European countries were sending assistance, including firefighters and vehicles. Italy was sending two planes, and France was sending a helicopter, Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, said on Monday. Teams of firefighters were on their way from Czechia and Romania, she said.
Temperatures near Athens were expected to climb on Tuesday to about 100 degrees Fahrenheit, with daily highs expected to be over 95 degrees for the remainder of the week, according to the Hellenic National Meteorological Center.
Dozens of blazes were burning Monday along the edges of a fire that broke out in Varnavas on Sunday afternoon, Col. Vassilios Vathrakogiannis, of the country’s fire service, said in a statement on Monday.
More than 700 firefighters and nearly 200 vehicles were working with the Civil Protection agencies, he said. Eighteen helicopters and 17 other firefighting aircraft had been in use since the Varnavas blaze began spreading.
Kikilias, the climate minister, said the people in towns north of Athens knew that “the firefighters, the Police, the Local Government, the volunteers, and the Army were there, fighting with superhuman efforts to prevent worse consequences.”
“These same firefighters have been working throughout the summer, extinguishing one fire after another,” he said.
(LONDON) — Ukrainian and Russian authorities reported dueling drone attacks overnight into Thursday as an intense and bloody week of long-range strikes continued.
The Kyiv City Military Administration posted on Telegram early on Thursday to report “another sustained massive attack by Russian attack drones,” citing administration head Serhiy Popko.
The capital’s air raid sirens began sounding before midnight, and the threat lasted for more than nine hours, Popko said.
“Almost all the southern, northern, eastern, central and part of the western regions of Ukraine, including Kyiv, were under the threat of an air strike,” he said.
“All drones that threatened the capital were neutralized,” Popko said, noting no casualties or damage were reported in the capital.
The Ukrainian air force issued drone, bomb and missile warnings via its Telegram channel throughout the night and into Thursday morning, reporting one Iskander-M ballistic missile and 78 Shahed UAVs fired into the country.
Ukrainian defenses downed 60 attack UAVs, the air force said, with two drones returning back into Russian airspace and one into Belarusian. Fifteen were “lost” over Ukrainian territory, it added.
Strikes also continued close to the front. Serhiy Lysak, the governor of the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk region, noted explosions near the town of Nikpol, along the Dnieper River which forms part of the contact line with Russian forces. Among the weapons used were attack drones, Lysak said.
In Sumy — close to Ukraine’s northeastern border with Russia — local authorities reported 37 explosions overnight, from a range of weapons including glide bombs and an FPV drone.
The Ukrainian General Staff on Thursday morning reported 14 missiles and 72 airstrikes in the previous 24 hours.
Russia’s Defense Ministry, meanwhile, said that its air defense teams intercepted one Vilkha rocket and two drones over the territory of the Belgorod region, three drones over the Kursk region and two more over the Bryansk region.
The ministry also said its forces destroyed two “unmanned boats” in the “north-eastern part of the Black Sea.”
Unconfirmed reports circulating on social media suggested a fire at the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk following a possible naval drone attack.
The overnight exchanges even expanded into Belarusian airspace, Minsk confirmed, reporting “a violation” of its state borders, “presumably by unmanned aerial vehicles.”
“A decision was made to destroy them,” the Defense Ministry wrote on Telegram. “Timely actions by the air defense forces on duty destroyed all the intruder targets. An investigation is being conducted into this incident.”
The ministry did not offer any information on who was responsible for the UAVs, nor confirm how many aircraft were downed.
(WASHINGTON) — The grisly discovery of six murdered hostages in a tunnel under Gaza over the weekend has sent U.S. officials scrambling to devise a new strategy to advance the already beleaguered negotiations aimed at securing a cease-fire deal and allow dozens of detainees to return home.
“Our team is still working to try to get this to closure,” White House spokesperson John Kirby said Tuesday. “Not that we didn’t have a sense of urgency before — we certainly did, but the killings over the weekend, the executions is the only way to put it, just underscores how important it is to keep that work alive and keep going.”
The Biden administration is now crafting a new framework for a hostage release and cease-fire agreement with its partners Qatar and Egypt and expects to present a finalized, all-encompassing proposal to Israel and Hamas in the coming days, according to a U.S. official.
But Kirby refuted reports that it would be presented to both sides as a “take it or leave it” option and declined to say what would happen if both Israel and Hamas didn’t accept the forthcoming proposal.
“I’m not using that phrase,” he said. “I am simply going to refuse to speculate about what might happen or what might not happen.”
On Monday, the Israeli Ministry of Health said that after examining the bodies of the six recovered hostages, it determined they were shot at close range and killed shortly before they were recovered.
In a statement, a spokesperson for Hamas’ armed wing blamed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for the deaths, saying his “insistence on freeing the prisoners through military pressure instead of concluding a deal will mean their return to their families in coffins, and their families will have to choose between dead or alive.”
Sources told ABC News that although the Israel Defense Forces was not conducting a rescue operation at the time the hostages are thought to have been killed, specialized units were operating under Rafah, Gaza’s southernmost city, nearby where the hostages were being held.
“I think when you see an order like that, it shows just what a depraved group we are dealing with in Hamas, when they make clear that they will execute innocent human beings rather than let them be rescued,” State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said.
Two U.S. officials familiar with ongoing cease-fire talks said representatives from Hamas did not warn mediators that it would begin executing detainees to thwart Israel’s attempts to recover them by any means other than negotiating their release.
However, a Hamas spokesperson said Monday that guards had been operating under instructions to kill hostages in their custody if Israeli forces neared their locations since June, when the IDF successfully freed four hostages in a raid that killed dozens of Palestinians.
High stakes, little leverage
Despite stuttering progress, the Biden administration argues that negotiations were picking up steam in recent days.
“We did have constructive talks last week in the region to try and reach agreement on the final gaps,” Miller said Tuesday. “We made progress on dealing with the obstacles that remain, but ultimately, finalizing an agreement will require both sides to show flexibility.”
But despite immense pressure from the Israeli public, Netanyahu indicated on Monday that he would not back down from his demand that the IDF must maintain a presence in the strategic Philadelphi corridor between southern Gaza and Egypt — a major sticking point in the talks.
Kirby hit back at the prime minister, saying his insistence ran counter to agreements the Israeli government had already made.
“I’m not going to get into a debate with the prime minister,” Kirby said, asserting that multiple draft agreements agreed to by Israel over the last several months called for the removal of the IDF from all densely populated areas of Gaza, including the Philadelphi corridor.
“That’s the proposal that Israel had agreed to and again,” he said.
Pressure builds on Biden after Israeli strike kills dozens of civilians in Rafah
While the United States has considerable diplomatic sway over Israel, it has much less leverage over Hamas. Through the negotiations, the administration has had little insight into the thinking of its leader, Yahya Sinwar, whom Secretary of State Antony Blinken describes as “the primary decider” in cease-fire negotiations.
Experts see Hamas’ apparent brutalist shift and the execution of hostages near the Philadelphi corridor as a play to push IDF troops away from the area, which could allow the group to rearm. Israel has not indicated that it will continue to pursue rescue missions or alter any operations along Gaza’s southern border.
The prospect of a broader conflict in the Middle East could also hinge on progress in the negotiations between Israel and Hamas. Iran has blamed Israel for carrying out an attack in Tehran that killed Hamas’ political leader, Ismail Haniyeh, in late July and vowed to retaliate. Israel took responsibility for a strike in July that killed Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukr, but has not said if it was also behind the attack that killed Haniyeh in Tehran.
It’s not clear why Iran has not yet carried out its threat, but U.S. officials believe Tehran may be wary of thwarting Gaza cease-fire negotiations.
The hostages still in Gaza
Even before the killing of the six hostages, U.S. and Israeli officials had already assessed that a deal might free a relatively small number of detainees — assessing that fewer than 50 were still living. Officials say there are now 97 hostages remaining in Gaza.
Even before the discovery of the slain hostages, U.S. officials told ABC News that only around a dozen hostages might initially be freed if Israel and Hamas agreed to the framework that was partially outlined by President Joe Biden in May. At least three of the detainees who were discovered dead in the tunnel — including dual American Israeli citizen Hersh Goldberg-Polin, 23 — would have been among them, they say.
Twelve American citizens were taken during Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks. Two were released in late October, and two more were freed in November as part of a cease-fire deal.
Of the eight Americans who remain detained in Gaza, four have been declared dead. U.S. and Israeli officials believe that four others — Edan Alexander, 19; Sagui Dekel-Chen, 36; Omer Neutra, 22, and Keith Siegel, 65 — could be alive.